Peak carbon emission management for industrial control under the new phase of climate change

Abstract

This paper systematically analyzes the management pathways for controlling peak carbon emissions in China's industrial sector under the new phase of climate change. The research indicates that industrial carbon emissions account for over 70% of the national total, making it a critical factor in achieving the peak target by 2030. By constructing an E=I×T measurement model, it is predicted that the peak of industrial carbon emissions will occur between 2020 and 2030, with an estimated range of 7 to 8 billion tons. The paper proposes phased, region-specific, and industry-specific peak carbon emission management strategies. It recommends taking 2020 and 2030 as key milestones: in the short term, advancing early peaking in certain industries and regions; in the medium term, achieving overall industrial peaking and establishing a low-carbon development institutional framework; and in the long term, building a comprehensive low-carbon industrial system to balance industrial economic growth with low-carbon development.